Hockey Bets 03/29

Hockey Bets 03/29

Kurt Kuklewicz

It's not often you get odds of a powerplay quarterback to log a point on the man advantage for a team at +600. Especially one who had 2 PPP in the last 4 games. Watching the lines drop, I was able to pick up Vince Dunn o0.5 PPP yesterday as soon as the lines started dropping for that game. It was incredible timing as +600 was listed, which I pounced on very quickly. Literally two hours later, the odds were reduced to +390 only, which made me feel incredibly fortunate. It actually gave me a great idea for a potential app with Stat Glitchers in the future. Unfortunately, the refs during this game really kept their whistle in their pockets for this one. The Kraken only had one powerplay, which was in the 3rd period. Vince Dunn did manage a shot on it, and I thought there was a good chance they would find pay-dirt, but alas, it was not meant to be. It's almost like it was a trap specifically designed for me... *Puts on tinfoil hat: The Fix is In. Today we fight back versus the manipulation with our own manipulation: the SG Power Play Crystal Ball.

John Klingberg o0.5 PPP @ Anaheim (+225)

I am electing Anaheim as tonight's version of the Seattle Kraken. The Ducks have let up a power-play goal in 5 straight games. There were 8 power-plays scored on them during this stretch out of 18 penalties to kill. This is very poor, that means that 44% of the opposing team's power-plays are getting cashed in. Statistically, all the Stars need are 2-3 power-plays at those chances. Anaheim have also let up 3 or more goals in 6 straight games as the team's ability went trending downward after the trade deadline. Klingberg is likely to log an assist on the power-play or fire a clapper through traffic that gets tipped or screened. I am not worried about not getting enough chances. The Ducks are still a very young team, they are going to make mistakes. The 2nd unit guys are getting maximum value in the +500 - +600 range if you want to be super risky. Benn or Suter at +500 would be my plays in that scenario.

Mitchell Marner o0.5 assists @ Boston (-115)

It's always tough to say how these Boston / Toronto games go (unless it's the first round of a playoff match-up). One thing is pretty certain to me, however. Mitch Marner is getting loads of points, with 12 in the last 6 games alone. If you zoomed out further to include more games, you may as well just zoom out the entire season, because Mitch has 74 points in 56 games played. Of these 12 points in the last 6, 4 are goals, the other 8 are apples. Earlier this year, Marner had 4 points against the B's in their only match-up, including 3 assists. While the team is struggling to win games on the road, Marner has likely not been the reason as he has 11 assists in the last 9 road games. Oh, he also has 8 goals in that span too, totaling for 17 points in the last 9 road games.

Jaccob Slavin o1.5 shots @ Tampa (-130)

I'm not a big fan of taking defensemen with shot totals, but Slavin should be worthy of 2 shots today. He has a great track record against Tampa, logging 2 or more shots in all 5 of his last regular season match-ups. Also, do not forget that the Canes had 41 shots against this defense exactly one week ago.

Cole Caufield o0.5 points @ Florida (-120)

Unlike Ducharme, I am so proud of myself that I stuck with Cole Caufield all throughout the entirety of my regular season in fantasy hockey. Since Marty St. Louis has taken over the head coaching job, we are witnessing true greatness out of Wayne Gretzky Cole Caufield. 25 points in the last 21 games for Cole since the coaching change. I am taking another ride on the Cole train for a point. I suspect that the Panthers will be too much to handle for Montreal, but I really like Cole's chances to get another point tonight. He did just log one in a game against them last week.

Mikko Rantanen o3.5 shots @ Calgary (+120)

Calgary are a good team defensively, but they really have an issue with the Avalanche and letting certain guys play well against them. Two guys in particular that they struggle against include MacKinnon and Rantanen. Having played against the Flames twice this year, Mikko logged 5 and 4 shots. Dig back just a little further, and he's nailed 4 or more shots on net 5/5 times in the last 5 matchups. Calgary did have a bit of a hiccup against the Oilers in a barn-burner on Saturday night. They took too many penalties in this game with 5 total, and if they do the same with Colorado tonight, Mikko may end up with 8+ shots on net. Whatever happens, both of these teams should give us an entertaining game tonight.