You ever wonder why Garfield always hated Mondays so much? I think I have a better understanding now. Since our site opened up on 01/24 this year, we have never had a winning Monday since then. The closest was a .500 performance two Mondays ago. Jared McCann single-handedly saved us last night from getting swept in our bets, with his 8 (wow!) shots on net. However, the show must go on. It's Tuesday, the 22th day of the 2nd month of the year 2022. Today brings six possibilities for game / player prop betting.

Pavel Buchnevich anytime goal scorer @ Philadelphia (+200)

The Blues are scoring at will, and one of them is Pavel Buchnevich. He has 9 points in the last 5 games, including 3 goals. Buchnevich comes in at the 5th most likely to score a goal by odds for this game, which puts him at decent value today. Remember, he knows the Flyers well from his time in New York. In the last 11 games against Philly, Buchnevich has over a point per game pace against the Black and Orange, with 12 points. He had scored a goal 7 times against them in this stretch. The Flyers are bad now, but keep in mind, they were a number one seed and did go far in the playoffs during the 2019-20 season (second round for Philly is like championship level for them). Therefore, some of this point scoring was done on decent teams. Carter Hart had a heartbreaking loss in overtime yesterday to the Hurricanes (also costing us some money taking the -1.5 puck line), and odds are that the Blues will draw Martin Jones today, and he's been ice cold.

Toronto Moneyline 1st Period @ Columbus (+150)

The performance of Toronto yesterday at Montreal was downright embarrassing and I was able to lock this bet in early with great value. When you look at yesterday's game closer, they did lock down the 3rd period with a 2-0 performance at least and the shots on goal (37 v 24), faceoffs (34 v 24) they dominated. I would just chalk yesterday's surprise loss to a bad performance from Petr Mrazek and Justin Holl playing poor defense. TJ Brodie had a -4 +/- yesterday as well, but he did at least block 4 shots. I think Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner will be playing angry today. Expect a fast 1st period of all-or-nothing play from the Leafs. We will either look amazing or tremendously foolish on this bet, but for the odds, I felt it too good of value to pass up.

Connor Brown u0.5 points VS Minnesota (+110)

The line deployment in the Senators last game against the Rangers has me baffled a bit, but then again, who really knows what the hell they are doing these days. It looks like Brown was skating with Paul and Tkachuk on the first line for warm-ups, but then they switched Sanford in for Tkachuk on that line and it became the 2nd line by percentage of deployment. Immediately Brown loses a lot of appeal to score points playing with Nick Paul and Zach Sanford. Brown does have a decent history of logging 6 points in his 9 games against Minnesota in his career. He only has one point in the last four games, however. The over seems like an algorithm trap with career splits dictating the odds.

2 Pick Parlay

Islanders at Seattle u5.5 goals (-120)

Anaheim Ducks Moneyline (-150)

+205

Both the Islanders and the Kraken have really struggled to put over 2 goals against teams like Vancouver and the Montreal Canadians. The low number of shots has both teams in the bottom five in the league for shots per game played. Anaheim got a kickstart of offense we really haven't seen from them all season, when they put up seven goals on Vancouver. Trevor Zegras really stepped up when they needed him most, dishing the puck out 3 times on their seven goals. I'll play the parlay here.