Hockey Bets 02/24

Hockey Bets 02/24

Kurt Kuklewicz

Perfect 3 for 3 yesterday! After re-reading yesterday's article once I posted it, the setup was really resonating with me for some reason. Tempted to follow the feeling, I additionally bet $14 on all 3 legs to combine a +623 parlay to win $101+, and this was a great pay-off. In case you were following at home, Caufield scored a point pretty quickly and then Seguin logged an assist (and furthermore, a game winning OT goal later on), but Kucherov really kept me sweating it out. First off, he didn't log a single shot in the first period (needing four total) and at one point it felt like the Oilers were going to slowly die in the corner, thus limiting Tampa Bay's chances to log more offense. Leon and the boys put up 3 goals to make the game interesting though. This was great for Kucherov who logged more shots late in the game. He actually had 3 shots only until 19:56 of the 3rd period, where he stripped the puck in the offensive zone and fired a tough angle shot for an empty net goal. Money!!! This was well overdue and we are eternally grateful for the great Nikita Kucherov. WE ARE NOT WORTHY *bows down* WE ARE NOT WORTHY.

There are 7 games tonight, but we will try to stick with current trends and career performance against each team again as it worked yesterday. Another thing I noticed is that all the player props picked yesterday were for home teams, which I found to be interesting. There are also some great temptations out there in game props today, so I combined them all on one single parlay.

Morgan Reilly o0.5 assists VS Minnesota (-135)

We learned our lesson with Minnesota, after taking an under with Connor Brown Tuesday. I'm not picking unders against them anytime soon. Minnesota defense and goal-tending has been absolutely atrocious recently, resembling the defense of the Minnesota Vikings. In the last 5 games, Minnesota has managed to pull off two wins because their offense has been dominant, but they have given up 23 goals in this stretch, or about 4.6 goals against per game. Maybe they flipped football uprights upside down in the stadium and use that as the net recently? That would be a good explanation of what is going on with their games. Morgan Reilly has 7 assists against Minnesota in 3 career games, 3 which were accounted for this season in one game against the Wild. He has another good shot at an apple tonight.

Sam Bennett any-time scorer VS Columbus (+140)

You can't base everything off of recent or career performance, but this is too good to pass up. In 4 career games vs Columbus in a Florida jersey, Sam Bennett has 4 goals and 2 assists. He also averages over 4.25 shots on goal against them. He is just on a different level than everyone else in these games. In terms of even strength lines, his line of Huberdeau and Duclair logged the most minutes against Smashville. This game has "4 goals or more scored by Florida", written all over it. I like Sam's chance to get on the board.

Elias Pettersson u0.5 points VS Calgary (+100)

Yes, I know that Elias has been on a tear recently, but we need to look closer. He was bumped down to the 3rd line with Nils Hoglander and some other dude named Podkolzin. His recent performance has been held up by power-play points and good deployment there recently. The number of power-play points scored recently can be random a bit, pending on how many opportunities you get, the flow of the game, etc. The opponents he's faced hasn't been stellar defenses either though. In the 5 out of 6 games he scored a point in his last 6, the teams he logged points against were Arizona, the Islanders, the Sharks, the Ducks and the Kraken, all teams that are currently out of a playoff spot as of today (but don't count out my Ducks yet!). The Flames come into this game tonight having given up only 2.33 goals against on average (best in the league) and killing 85.6% of their penalties (3rd best in the league) while having to kill just 139 penalties (6th best). When you take his career numbers against the Flames with just 4 points in 11 games, this has even more appeal. Assuming Markstrom draws net again, this feels pretty comfortable. I'm cashing out though if Vladar gets the nod instead, not that he's been terrible though.

3 Pick parlay game unders

NJ @ Pittsburgh u6.5 goals (-115)

Washington @ New York Rangers u6.5 goals (-155)

Boston @ Seattle u6.5 goals (-165)

+393

To be honest with you, I think most of these could be bet individually, but I especially like the Devils and Penguins under 6.5 goals line right now. Here are their most 5 recent games and the scores. In 2022 season: (Penguins 4, Devils 2), (Penguins 3 Devils 2), (Devils 4, Penguins 2). In 2021 season: (Penguins 4, Devils 2), (Penguins 5, Devils 1). That's 5 consecutive games of under 6.5. *shrugs* I just play the odds and recent trends. The Capitals are in the middle of a 5 game road winning streak, and the Rangers should roll out the Great Igor. I know that they will market this game as an offensive shootout with the great 30+ goal scorers on the season already of Alex Ovechkin and Chris Kreider (is this real life?), but I expect a close defensive battle. Boston could get Brad Marchand back as his suspension has ended, but he is listed as day-to-day with personal reasons now. If he's out for any reason, I'd expect the odds for the under 6.5 to dwindle to nothing. Regardless, we know Boston is still generally having issues scoring and Seattle can't log shots if the net was a bright colored 10 foot by 10 foot broad side of a barn. Vince Dunn has entered the chat. I have never seen anyone have more shot attempts that don't end up on net.