Football Bets Week 2

Football Bets Week 2

Kurt Kuklewicz

And so it goes. Week 1 was a wackier week than I can remember, but it did help educate us about a couple of things. For one, don't write off Saquon just yet. Field goal kickers are slowly being less involved in the game everyday (with exception to hitting uprights in many games in week 1). Finally, we really don't know enough about anything yet. Let's see how week 2 treats us, but here is what is being taken this week for our bets.

Jalen Hurts un238.5 passing yards (-115)

Hurts looked pretty polished passing the ball last week with 243 yards on 32 attempts, but it was against the Lions secondary... The Vikings held Aaron Rodgers in check last week, under 200 yards passing, but they also caused a lot of damage with 4 sacks. I don't believe Hurts is going to be passing the ball this much every week. In fact, Hurts has failed to reach this amount of passing yards in 10 of his last 12 starts. Furthermore, he only had greater than 200 yards passing in 4 of them. The Eagles coaching staff want to keep running the ball, spreading the wealth out with Sanders, Gainwell and Scott. Take the under for Hurts passing line.

Antonio Gibson ov60.5 rushing yards (-115)

After Antonio Gibson started taking kick returns in pre-season, there was a lot of speculation that he was done as the starter. Unfortunately, Brian Robinson was shot and injured, but this meant that Gibson slotted back in as the starter. As long as he can avoid mental errors like fumbling, which caused him to be benched in the first place, he should eat a lot of volume in the running attack until Robinson is back and healed. Gibson has averaged 59.2 rushing yards per game as a starter in his career, but keep in mind that he was dinged up last season and had a few "decoy" or "throwaway" games. If Washington are able to capitalize with a couple of turnovers, the game script looks favorable for Gibson to get the rock.

Christian McCaffrey anytime TD scorer (-135)

McCaffrey's usage makes it look like he was eased in the game a bit last week against the Browns, as he only recorded 10 carries and received 5 targets. However, he was still found paydirt with a goal line carry. Also, Foreman and Hubbard barely touched the ball with 3 combined carries, so McCaffrey's 10 carries could have just been a result of the game script. The Giants were impressive against the Titans last week and they limited the work of Henry to just 3.9 yards per carry on 20+. You still have to expect the Panthers to get near the goal line on their defense though. And I like CMC's chances to get in on any attempt in the goal-line.

Hunter Renfrow ov4.5 receptions (-130)

After last week's game, Derek Carr said something interesting that made me think he could alter his target spread this week. "I was way too aggressive. I came in with a very aggressive mindset, especially with all the weapons we have. That's on me. That's decisions and being too aggressive in certain moments". Look at the targets in last week's game. 17 targets for Davante Adams, which is absoluetly insane. Next on the list was Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller with 6 each. This has to change. Carr understands that he maybe forced too much to Davante, which is reasonable because he is clearly their best player. However, he needs to get some security. Turnovers cost him too much last week against the Chargers. Look for Renfrow to get involved underneath again this week, similar to how he did last season. Vegas is sleeping on Renfrow's ability. He will get involved again and should have a nice day.

Early Win Moneyline Promos

The following bets were utilized through the Early win promo on Draftkings. If the selected team gets up 10 points or more at any point of the game, the bet wins.

Jaguars ML (+150) vs Indy

The Jaguars looked like a better team last week against the Commanders. I was correct in my evaluation that Christian Kirk was going to get a lot of targets, and he received a whopping 12 targets. The Colts did most of their damage against the Texans on the ground, with JT getting over 160 yards rushing. I believe that they will be less successful against Jacksonville's defensive line. In 28 carries last week overall, the Commanders averaged just 3.0 yards per carry against Jacksonville. Matt Ryan may have to shoulder some of the load today, and without his best weapon, Michael Pittman, it may be difficult. There's even a possibility of an interception or two that makes the score a bit of a roller coaster (good for the early win).

Commanders ML (+100) vs Detroit

The Lions fell down early to the Eagles last week, 14-31. They did manage to score more points near the end of the game, but it was just too big of a hole to dig out of. Meanwhile, the Carson Wentz show delivered an entertaining display from Washington's week 1 matchup. He tossed 4 TD's and led a game winning drive, threw 2 interceptions. It had all the emotions you could imagine for a Wentz start. I understand that the Lions are at home, but I am kind of confused why they are even favored at all. D'Andre Swift is banged up and Jared Goff is a notorious turnover machine. This could be one of those classic "Vegas knows" situations, but I think that the Lions will be staring down a 0-2 start after this week.

Bonus Mega Longshot Lotto 4PM Parlay (+22991)

Seahawks ML

Cowboys ML

Cardinals ML

Texans ML

Playing 1 unit

On these long shot lotto tickets you really can't get too technical in my opinion, you just have to trust your gut. Here are my quick thoughts for each game.

  • Young, under-pressure, heavily scrutinized SF QB

  • Cincy looking like they had a fluky SB run last year; Dallas prematurely being written off without Dak at center

  • Overly aggressive Derek Carr

  • Russ can't cook (don't @ me)