Although I fixed Cam Atkinson's rough point scoring funk by betting the under 0.5 point line against him, we still managed to go 5-1 with an excellent betting day. Today, the schedule feels pretty heavy for a Sunday, but I like 3 bets in particular so much, that they were virtually picked out before midnight. I just needed to wait for the lines to get set and validate the bets as good ones. Here is what is on the table.

Sebastian Aho o1.5 points VS Edmonton (+165)

I changed this bet about 4 times between the o2.5 shots, the anytime goal scorer, and then finally, the over 1.5 points on Draftkings. Ladies and gentlemen, Mike Smith is confirmed. OPEN THE FLOODGATES. There is really not a lot of history for Mike Smith's life-time performance against Carolina, but there are some interesting numbers here for Aho. He seems to be a pretty big mismatch for the Oilers and he's playing excellent. In fact, he logged 3 points against the Oilers in a game earlier this year, including 2 goals and 5 shots on net. Go back a little further, and he had 3 points against them during the 2019-20 season, followed by another 2 point performance. Aho is sponging up all of the even strength (and power-play) time with his linemates, Svechnikov and Teravainen. There is a great chance for two points today, and over 2.5 shots is very safe. If you are interested and the over 1.5 points is too big of a risk for you, the any-time goal scorer is at +115.

Jakub Voracek o0.5 assists VS Pittsburgh (+110)

When betting on points for Voracek, you can pretty much take goals out of the equation anyway, since he has only 2 for the entire season. Therefore, to me it makes sense to just boost the odds for assists instead. Gritty, I mean Jakub has 35 assists on the season and his linemate, Patrick Laine has been playing with fire lately. With 9 assists in the last 10 games, Jarry likely getting a rest, playing at home, and his very good career history against the Penguins (52 points in 52 career regular season games), the reasons to bet with Jake are plentiful.

Jason Robertson o2.5 shots VS Buffalo (-150)

Jason Robertson is on a tear shooting the puck this year, and the Sabres have given up a TON of shots this year, allowing 34.4 shots against on average this year. It's not hard to imagine Robertson factoring for just 3 shots if there is 34 shots taken by the Stars today, although he will probably get more in that case. In their only match-up earlier this season, he had 5 shots on goal. I also think Denis Gurianov is a good line at +115 for over 2.5 shots, but it seems his deployment really gets shuffled all over the place, and it's a bit too risky for me to take. Robertson is going to continue to play top line, top power-play minutes every single game.