Football Bets Week 3

Football bets Week 3

Kurt Kuklewicz

Week 3 brings a lot of storylines to the limelight, but there really haven't been any emerging teams to look dominant (with exception of the Bills maybe). I'm having trouble picking teams for eliminator challenge, which is odd during week 3. It's really interesting, but currently there isn't a favorite with more than 6.5 points on the spread. Anyway, let's get right into the bets this week, there is a lot of em (all player props):

Miles Sanders ov63.5 rushing yards (-120) @ WAS

Last week, the Commanders surrendered more than 191 yards rushing to the Detroit Lions. This included two large 50+ gains from Swift and St. Brown actually. In week one, Washington allowed 123 rushing yards to the Jaguars. They have some issues with allowing big plays in the defense. The Eagles come in with a preference to run the ball, as they are 3rd overall with rushing attempts per game this year. This is a straight bet I really like this week. Washington allows 7.5 yards per carry, wow!

Saquon Barkley un81.5 rushing yards (-115) VS DAL

Saquon made most of his haters (including me) eat their words after a week 1 victory to the reigning AFC #1 seed. He logged 164 yards on 18 carries. It's funny, the moment after this game, everyone was fully back in on Barkley. However, in a very solid matchup against the Panthers, he did just okay with 72 yards on 21 rushing attempts. Considering his line was around 74.5, he did sink a lot of tickets though, unfortunately. This week he gets a very generous 81.5 rushing yards against Dallas, who are a top 15 rushing defense. Last week, they bottled up Joe Mixon for under 60 rushing yards. Saquon is receiving a lot of work early on (24 + 21 attempts), and I do worry that the Giants might wear him out early potentially if they do not manage his carries moving forward.

Matt Ryan un248.5 passing yards (-115) VS KC

Matt Ryan has looked a little washed this year. He is 0-5-1 in his last six starts. If you look back at his game log a little further, he is only averaging 224.1 yards in the last 10 games. It's hard to judge his resume at Indy so far, because his passing yardage was over 350 against the Texans in week 1. However, they were down 17 points in that game and the script was obviously throwing the football to save their team from a loss. The Colts do not want Matt Ryan with 50 passing attempts each game. Game script should return to normal, as the Colts need to win this week or else remain in serious trouble.

Jaylen Waddle ov64.5 receiving yards (-115) VS BUF

For this week, you just need to look at the injury report for Buffalo. Micah Hyde is now out for the season. The Bills are starting an undrafted rookie in their CB2 slot. I'm not completely sold on Tua being an MVP candidate realistically. However, Waddle is coming off a monster game, and with Hill also doing the same, it will be very difficult for the Bills to shut down both receivers. I like Waddle a little better of the two Dolphin receiviers this week, as Hill should draw more attention.

J.J. Watt ov0.25 sacks (+307) VS LA Rams

J.J. Watt still got it. Last week, he recorded one sack against the Raiders. He missed week one with a calf injury, but he seems to be managing through it fine. The Rams have allowed 8 sacks on the season so far. It's true that 7 of these were against the Bills, but the Rams still were in the top 10 last year for number of sacks allowed. The greatest thing about this prop is that Watt only needs a half of a sack to hit it.

Bonus plays

Kendrick Bourne ATS (+600) VS BAL (0.5 unit)

Jakobi Meyers is likely out this week for New England. The Pats coaching staff appear hesistant to give Mac Jones a lot of freedom to air it out, (think back to his 3 passing attempt game against Buffalo in that snow storm last year, even though Josh Allen threw it 30+ times), but that should change as he gains more confidence. However, after a questionable training camp and showing up late to a team meeting during the preseason (Boomer Bill CANNOT allow him to get away with this!), he went into the doghouse immeadiately. Last week he had 22 snaps, which was less than Lil'Jordan Humphrey. However, considering that Jakobi Meyers had 58 snaps last week, those snaps must be spread elsewhere. It's impressive for Bourne that he looks solid in his limited snap count. He made a 41 yard catch when the game was already out of reach against Miami on his first target. I'm not saying this is a slam dunk by any stretch, because for all we know, Bourne ends up being a healthy scratch this week even though logically it makes sense for him to be more involved. However, I think it's a nice play for just a half unit or a big lotto ticket parlay builder.

PrizePicks 5 pick flex

- Michael Carter ov18.5 receiving yards

- Dalvin Cook ov0.5 rush TD

- Treylon Burks ov38.5 receiving yards

- Brandon Aiyuk ov48.5 receiving yards

- Cooper Kupp ov98.5 receiving yards