Last week, we went 4-1 on straight bets and had a huge win from J.J. Watt, who smashed the over 0.25 sack line he had last week, with his own, lone sack on Matthew Stafford. Thanks for the +307, straight bet cash, J.J.! Heading into week 4, it's easy to get distracted with parlays and same game parlays. I admit, I see these people winning $100,000 on a $100 10 leg parlay ticket and get the urge to play a bunch. I tell myself as often as possible, "don't do it- it's a trap". Wise words from the great Admiral Akbar to keep me focused. Unless you get risk-free parlay bets, or you limit them to once or twice a week, they are going to cost you money over the long run. Whoever invented the parlay for casinos, definitely made a killing. Here are a bunch of player props I like for week 4, with one game bet.

CeeDee Lamb ov62.5 receiving yards (-115)

As someone who is unfortunately a Commanders fan, I have seen and endured the pain first hand. Washington is terrible against the pass this year. They are 28th in pass defense, and that includes the Bengals and Dolphins, who already played their 4th game of the season. With Rush as a starter, Lamb has actually averaged 7.5 receptions and 81 yards per game this year. Last year, he had 127 yards receiving against Washington, which also averages above the 62.5 receiving line.

Brian Hoyer un199.5 passing yards (-125)

Hoyer has no place as a starter or direct backup in the league anymore. But for some reason, Boomer Bill loves him and keeps him around as permanent clipboard holder. Mac Jones is confirmed out, and now Bill has decided to go with Hoyer. This is a slam dunk bet. Green Bay has some talented cornerbacks, and Bill won't put up with interceptions long. We know that Hoyer is probably going to get in trouble with sacks and picks, so he might not last long in this game. Bailey Zappe, a 4th round pick, offers some mobility, or at least mobility better than Hoyer. If this game gets ugly (and the Pats are getting a large 9.5 points as underdogs), he might give him the last quarter or two if he wants to see how he reacts and plays in a game. I like this bet still even if they play 4 quarters with Hoyer. Hell, I'll still take it in 4 quarters + overtime play. Please get Hoyer out of the backup role and put him somewhere more useful, Bill. Let's say like a QB coach, or even an offensive play-caller if you are so impressed with his mental game or whatever. No more nepotism with Judge and Patricia running the offense.

George Pickens ov 27.5 receiving yards (-110)

Pickens is on the verge of a breakout. Dionate Johnson is surely Mitch's security blanket, but Pickens is his OBJ and talented superstar in the making. He is just finding it out now. After an acrobatic catch, Pickens got more looks during the Browns and Steelers game last Thursday- even with 30+ mph winds. He received 7 targets in that game. This week, the Steelers play the Jets. What better confidence booster is there for a young man than the Jets defense? This defense is giving up the 7th most amount of yards per passing attempt, at 7.7. Furthermore, they are giving up 11.6 yards per completion. If Pickens gets a healthy amount of targets again, he could be in for a really nice week.

Austin Ekeler ov55.5 rushing yards (-115)

Austin Ekeler is likely costing his fantasy managers wins. Last week, he managed just 5 rushing yards on a total of 4 rushing attempts. This is clearly not very good, and he hasn't gone over 39 yards rushing on the year yet. But hear me out, the Texans are the exact thing Ekeler needs right now. No team allows more rushing yards, and it is not even close (by more than 120). Ekeler did receive more than 10 carries in the other two games, but the Chargers were battling back against Kansas City most of the night and also the same against the Jaguars. While his props are low, we will take advantage.

Cole Kmet un2.5 receptions (+100)

There is a lot of talk about how the Bears are really sold on Justin Fields, and how they want to pass the ball more moving forward, but it's just talk. Kendall Hinton got more freedom to pass the ball than Fields. This week, the Giants play the Bears, which looks good for Kmet at first glance. However, the Giants actually play pretty well against TE. In terms of fantasy points, they are 9th best against other tight ends. Unfortunately, I see a lot of pain in the future for Bears fans, and I also see a potential goose egg for Kmet again this week. Give me the under for even money.

Seattle Seahawks +3.5 (-110)

The Lions come in bruised and beaten up, missing D'Andre Swift, DJ Chark, Amon-Ra St.Brown and a few dinged up players. Jared Goff's receivers will be a combination of Josh Reynolds (assuming he plays), Kalif Raymond and Quintez Cephus. So much of this offense was carried by St.Brown and Swift in the first three weeks, that I don't see how they are able to generate much offense this week without them. Through 3 games, the Lions have accounted for 1227 yards. Of those yards, Swift and St.Brown have recorded 629 of them, over half of their total yards! Seattle isn't much of a better team than Detroit normally, but I believe they will have a good running game going and control the clock to keep the Lions off the scoreboard enough. Worst case, I see some kind of wacky finish with Detroit winning by a last second field goal or something (which we will be covered). Go Geno Smith!