There's nothing like waking up on the first Sunday of football season! It's a day in American culture that rivals the feeling of Christmas as a kid. Waking up to a Treylon Burks SMASH play is the adult gambling degenerate version of waking up to a new Nintendo 64. Speaking of Treylon Burks, he does make the list of today's plays. One thing we have to learn is the incredible amount of upside that most rookies have on Sportsbooks. There is still time to make a lot of money! Here are some plays for week 1, with a bonus parlay that could be BIG BUCKS on one simple play.

Treylon Burks ov25.5 receiving yards (-115) VS NYG

A lot has been said about Treylon Burks. He immediately had great hype after going to Tennessee on draft day. His comparable comp was A.J. Brown. However, after a rough training camp practice, where he was also diagnosed with asthma, he is being notoriously faded EVERYWHERE imaginable. His season totals bets went from nearly 900 yards receiving in some instances to 720.5. His ADP in fantasy football took a huge hit. I was able to snag him in the 8th round in a 14 team league. Asthma won't suddenly kill his upside. I knew many swimmers in college that had asthma and some of them were endurance swimmers. You just take a puff of your inhaler and you're good to go. The modern miracles of science! But let's get back to the match-up, Burks has the Giants, which is decent. It's well known that the Giants have a horrendous rushing defense (25th last season), but they are going to focus on shutting down Henry anyway possible. This will likely open up weak passing coverage for Ryan Tannehill to exploit. I like Burks in open space for at least 2-3 catches MINIMUM. The yardage after the play, is up to him. Even if he is not getting a ton of snaps in week 1, all it really takes is just one or two plays to bust this over.

AJ Dillon un47.5 rushing yards (-105) @ MIN

Someone who is getting a lot of positive attention is A.J. Dillon. In some fantasy football leagues, he is described as a decent RB2. I think this is a little premature while Aaron Jones is still entrenched as the week 1 starter (despite what everyone is saying as a situation of RB1A and RB1B), and freshly healthy. Later down the road, the Packers will need to rely on AJD, but I think his rushing projections are a little too optimistic to begin the season. This game has the makings of an offensive shootout, where Aaron Rodgers and Kirk Cousins are slinging the ball around the field each drive. It just isn't a favorable match-up for me to take a rushing total over for an RB 2nd of the depth chart against a fairly decent run defense.

Javonte Williams ov58.5 rushing yards (-120) @ SEA

Seattle was a bottom 5 defense in yards allowed last year against the run. Hackett wants to use the "hot hand" on Monday and says they're in a great situation. If this is true, he will have no reason to go to Melvin Gordon on MNF if Javonte is effective in his first few carries of the game. Russell Wilson's passing attempts is the most popular bet for this game and it has been faded for the under. I like a lot of rushing in this one for Denver.

Jared Goff Most Passing Yard matchup vs Tua Tagovailoa (-110)

Goff certainly has the better game script if the Lions fall down early. However, the other reason to take this is Tua. Tua has more weapons this year, but Bill knows how to keep him in check. Here are his passing totals in his 3 career games against NE. Goff won't likely need to do 300 to win this, he will just need to tap it in... just tapppp it in, give a nice tappy tap taparoo

1/9/22- 109 passing yards

9/12/21- 202 passing yards

12/20/21 - 145 passing yards

James Conner un4.5 receptions vs KC (-145)

James Conner wasn't the sole workhorse of the team when Chase Edmonds was active last season. He's being bumped up like he suddenly can handle the bellcow workload. I think pumping the brakes and taking a "wait and see" approach is a good method. Conner recorded 5 or more receptions in only 4 games all last season. Darrel Williams is going to be involved in the passing game, as well as Eno Benjamin. Darrel Williams managed 47 receptions with the Chiefs last year and that was with CEH on the team, and even passing work specialist Jerrick McKinnon. Another thing to consider is that the Arizona run game works similar to an up-tempo offense. They often go no-huddle which means there are some series that Conner will be off the sideline completely if it follows a similar pattern as last year.

Bonus Promo Upset:

Houston Texans Moneyline (+260) with Early win

For all of you scared to play Houston moneyline, there's always the +7 spread at (-105)... However, I am taking a different approach with the bonus promo on Draftkings. It's important to understand that Houston improved at the end of last season and Davis Mills was serviceable as a starter for them. With a bit of improvement with Dameon Pierce at RB and some injuries with the Colts defense, I actually really like this as a potential upset. Matt Ryan is this year's carousel QB for the Colts. Honestly, I am not high on the Colts. There is a pretty good chance they finish 3rd this year. Actually, I took a sprinkle on them to finish 4th at +2000 when you consider the improvement of the Jaguars on defense, coaching and some players like Travis Etienne back into the mix. Of course, that would mean that Houston has to play better than them- but they at least have the potential to go up 10+ points at some point early in the game.

Bonus Elijah Moore Play SGP:

Elijah Moore ATS, over 79.5 yards (+675)

Lots of people are scared with Joe Flacco under center for the Jets. However, you would be most interested to learn that Moore's BEST game last year was with Joe Flacco at playcaller. He had 11 Targets, 8 receptions, 141 yards and one score. The odds are just too great to ignore a SMASH play for Moore here. All he really needs is a bomb TD at any point of the game and it's all locked up and in your bank account easily.